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India’s $700-billion startup market moves from hype to execution 

India’s $700-billion startup market moves from hype to execution 
India’s $700-billion startup market

SUMMARY

As the nation gears up for the unveiling of the Union Budget 2026, anticipation is building  India’s startup ecosystem has reached a remarkable milestone, with an estimated combined  valuation of $700 billion in 2025. This impressive figure positions India as one of the most  significant startup markets globally, but the real transformation goes beyond mere numbers.  

The ecosystem is evolving from a phase characterized by rapid growth and attention-grabbing  headlines to one focused on execution, sustainability, and long-term value creation. 

This shift represents a clear change from the exuberance seen just a few years back. In 2021,  Indian startups attracted nearly $42 billion in funding, propelled by abundant global liquidity  and aggressive scaling strategies. However, funding levels moderated to $25 billion in 2022  and have stabilised between $10 billion and $12 billion annually from 2023 to 2025. Rather  than indicating a downturn, this phase signifies a recalibration. Capital is still active, but it is  now being deployed with more scrutiny and intent. 

Pranav Sheth, Managing Director of Corporate Finance at Alvarez & Marsal, observes that  the current funding landscape reflects a return to core business fundamentals. He points out  that funding has normalised, with investments being spread across a wider array of  companies instead of being concentrated in a few mega rounds. This shift is cultivating a  healthier and more resilient investment environment that prioritises measured growth over  unchecked expansion. 

The structure of startup funding has also seen significant improvement. Large funding rounds  exceeding $100 million, which once accounted for over 70% of annual investments in 2021,  now contribute roughly 30%. More capital is flowing into early-stage, mid-stage, and select  growth-stage ventures, fostering balanced development throughout the ecosystem. With  nearly $100 billion in dry powder available across venture capital and private equity funds,  and with exit pathways becoming clearer, startup investments are projected to grow by 10– 15% in 2026, reaching approximately $12–12.6 billion. 

Valuations Strengthen as Exit Pathways Improve

The $700 billion valuation milestone is currently supported by 126 unicorns, collectively  valued at around $365 billion. Despite this scale, India’s startup valuations represent only  about 8% of the country’s nominal GDP, compared to nearly 12% in the United States. This  disparity indicates significant potential for growth, provided that valuation increases are  backed by sustainable earnings and credible exit strategies. 

Sheth anticipates valuation growth of 10–12% in 2026, with total startup valuations likely to  surpass $800 billion by 2027. He emphasises that this growth will not stem from speculative  multiples but from steady IPO activity, continued unicorn creation, and alignment with  India’s broader economic expansion. Supporting this trend, nearly 48 Indian startups are  expected to enter public markets over the next 18 months, enhancing liquidity and recycling  capital back into the ecosystem. 

Global Innovation Signals and Manufacturing Maturity 

The focus on execution is also evident on global innovation platforms like CES 2026, where  the emphasis has shifted from incremental smart features to fully autonomous and integrated  systems. Industry leaders are increasingly favouring solutions that combine hardware,  software, AI, and industrial design into reliable, self-operating systems. 

India’s role in deep-tech and hardware-intensive categories is steadily maturing. Bolstered by  its engineering talent, rising venture interest, and supportive government initiatives, the  country is moving beyond cost competitiveness to create globally relevant products. 

This transition is also apparent in manufacturing. India is evolving from assembly-led models  to taking ownership across the entire design-to-manufacture lifecycle, particularly in sectors  like electronics, electric vehicles, energy systems, and connected devices. Ecosystem  enablers, including advanced manufacturing hubs and innovation centres like T-Works in  Hyderabad, are accelerating this shift by reducing development cycles and execution risks. 

From Growth to Grounded Maturity 

What ties together funding discipline, valuation expansion, global innovation signals, and  manufacturing depth is a shared commitment to execution. India’s startup ecosystem is no  longer driven solely by momentum. Capital is more discerning, technology must yield real world impact, and valuations are increasingly tied to performance and successful exits. 

For both investors and founders, the message is clear. India’s $700 billion startup economy  has entered a phase where execution is not just an advantage—it is the standard. The next  chapter of growth will belong to those who can build sustainable businesses, deliver  consistently, and transform innovation into lasting economic value.

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